New Zealand International Trade Surges in September Quarter 2025

Himasha Dissanayake, JadeTimes Staff

H. Dissanayake is a Jadetimes news reporter covering Economy

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Image Source: Interest co.nz

New Zealand’s international trade performance strengthened notably in the September 2025 quarter, with total exports of goods and services rising to NZ$25.0 billion, compared with NZ$22.3 billion in the same period last year. Merchandise exports alone recorded a robust increase of NZ$928 million, marking a 19% year-on-year rise and lifting the monthly total for September to NZ$5.8 billion. The upswing reflects firm global demand alongside favourable conditions for cornerstone export categories including dairy, meat, and other primary agricultural products.

This export expansion carries significant implications for the broader economy. Stronger demand supports farmers, exporters, and associated supply-chain industries, reinforcing confidence across key export-dependent sectors. Rising export revenues may also ease pressure on the national trade balance, though the full picture will depend on forthcoming import data. At a macroeconomic level, the boost in external earnings is expected to improve business sentiment, encourage investment, and provide renewed momentum for rural communities that form a vital part of New Zealand’s economic structure.

However, analysts remain cautious. Global demand continues to face geopolitical risks and commodity-price volatility, and long-term resilience will depend on New Zealand’s capacity to diversify beyond traditional goods into areas such as high-value services and technology exports. Import trends and global economic shifts in the coming months will play a decisive role in determining whether this growth can be sustained.

Alongside the national export rebound, 2025 is shaping into a landmark year for the Māori economy, which is accelerating at an unprecedented pace. According to Te Ōhanga Māori 2023, Māori entities increased their GDP contribution from NZ$17 billion in 2018 to nearly NZ$32 billion in 2023, lifting their share of national GDP to 8.9%. Māori asset holdings also grew substantially, more than doubling to NZ$126 billion over the same period, reflecting expansion in property, enterprise, and collective investments.

By mid-2025, Māori businesses recorded quarterly sales exceeding NZ$1 billion, while Māori authorities reported export growth of 4.9% year-on-year, driven by dairy, seafood, and other commodity-based sectors. Importantly, the structure of the Māori economy is evolving rapidly. Once dominated by primary industries, it now features strong growth in professional services, technical services, and real-estate sectors. Around 7,000 Māori-owned service-sector businesses employ roughly 130,000 Māori workers, contributing more than NZ$14 billion to GDP. Whānau-led enterprises have also emerged as a vital force for community-based economic development and resilience.

Business optimism within the Māori economy is rising sharply. A 2025 survey shows that 64% of Māori business leaders feel positive about their recent performance, up from 48% in 2024. Despite wider economic uncertainties, Māori exporters have remained resilient, benefiting from favourable commodity conditions and strengthened global demand. Supportive government initiatives continue to provide resources and programmes aimed at expanding Māori enterprise and enabling sustained long-term growth.

Together, New Zealand’s export resurgence and the strong upward trajectory of the Māori economy highlight a period of renewed economic momentum. While global challenges persist, the performance of both the national and Māori sectors underscores the country’s enduring strength—and its increasing reliance on innovation, diversification, and international engagement.