US-Iran Strikes Challenge Interim Peace, Global Stability and the Future of International Order
- Dr. Sushil Kumar Rai
- 7 minutes ago
- 3 min read
By Dr. Sushil Kumar Rai
The rivalry between US-Iran strengthening is further evidence as to how unstable peace is held on one of the most volatile crossroads in all over world. This reflects the fragility of any interim agreement between US and Iran. Even the ceasefires are just a sticking plaster situation on the gaping deep strategic divide regarding hegemony in region while Iran continues its malign behaviour both destabilising adjacent regions as well as undergoing nuclearization. It serves only dipped and shrunk into tit-for-tat threats and counterattacks.
This is a crisis of the chokepoint in this case that strategically narrow and shallow Hormuz strait channel which has also triggered fears of a global economic crash. As a result, global energy markets have been destabilised with widespread attempts to hamper the movement of vessels and mercantile ships. Although some of the shipments have restarted, a prolonged period of turmoil around Black Sea has potential to lift energy prices and inflation. Set new shocks off in global supply chains that only recently began recovering from other such disruptions-hitting both rich and poor nations. But, for countries that depend more on energy imports, this is a far worse scenario. The modern world is the global economy and not only are we all interlinked to each other, but regional conflicts today can also be played with financial crisis on a global level.
For long time, many countries have been using proxy forces to avoid full-fledged military confrontation and weaken their opponents. Iran has also relied on proxy forces to pursue this more in other Arab states such as through the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) and Hizbullah who are both considered by some countries direct threat. These are also clashes that increasingly take place not at levels of military combat. That constrains the potential for a quick and large-scale conflict and the consequences are being paid by regional peace. To maintain the sustainable stability, a dynamic diplomacy and tougher commitments are very much required against proxy wars, measures that can promote political dialogues or building mutual confidence; guidance to quickly produce cooperative mechanisms for safety and security.
The crisis clearly shows both why diplomacy has limits and exemplifies how these broader attacks on a rules-based international order are significant. A number of major sticking points have stalled negotiations-including sanctions relief, the governance over its presence at Strait of Hormuz and its nuclear programme. Allowed for suspension of military efforts where you could place your hope in political arrangements, and much more explicit than before were information about how international organisations (like UN) lack the capacity to manage this conflict. Either would mark a terrible future for international law: if states are prepared to reject multilateralism and prefer unilateral military action, then in the hands of power projection morality becomes mixed with strategic interests so that particulars yield contradictions and cracks in over fifty years old post-war global governance.
Why effective mechanisms for peace and security are required between the US-Iran crisis. Due to the interdependent nature of our economies and many international supply chains stay as just full-blown wars within a single nation in the 21st century -it exploded through commodity prices, energy supplies down globalised markets and relations. This is a fact that military deterrence and temporary ceasefires likely cannot achieve durable and sustainable peace. This challenge to stability requires a new round of diplomacy, spurred by the need for fresh momentum around regional security cooperation – both at sea and on land. In this scenario, where adherence to laws of war is taken seriously, as well as reforming multilateral institutions so they can do their jobs exposing bad actors while defending vital trade arteries. Instead of asking whether major powers can destroy one another, we should ask whether major and middle powers are willing to work together, hold meaningful discussions, and solve global challenges through cooperation. In this way, sustainable peace and stability for the future generation can only be achieved through inclusive dialogue, mutual trust and a strong commitment to a rule-based measure and international order.
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